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AP FACT CHECK: Trump’s week of fiction: trade, Google, polls

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On this Aug. 27, 2018, photograph, President Donald Trump talks on the telephone with Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto, within the Oval Workplace of the White Home in Washington. (AP Photograph/Evan Vucci)

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump is enjoying unfastened with the information in his exuberance to push by way of a commerce settlement with Mexico.

He insists the deal reached this previous week between america and Mexico to exchange the North American Free Commerce Settlement is “one of the largest trade deals” ever. It’s not.

And in an effort to strain Canada to hitch the reimagined buying and selling bloc, or dismiss Canada as irrelevant if it doesn’t, Trump additionally wrongly means that Mexico is a much bigger and extra necessary buying and selling associate.

The commerce feedback got here in a week of outright fiction during which Trump additionally stored asserting that Mexico can pay for his long-promised wall alongside the southwest border regardless of Mexico’s statements on the contrary; falsely accused Google of shunning his State of the Union tackle whereas selling Barack Obama’s; and cited excessive ballot scores for himself that don’t seem to exist.

A sampling of the claims and the truth behind them:

TRADE

TRUMP: “This is one of the largest trade deals ever made. Maybe the largest trade deal ever made.” — telephone name Monday with Mexican President Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto.

THE FACTS: Not even shut. The Trans-Pacific Partnership, negotiated by the Obama administration, included the three NAFTA companions — United States, Canada and Mexico — plus Japan and eight different Pacific Rim nations. Trump withdrew the USA from the pact in his third day in workplace.

Even the TPP shrinks compared to Uruguay Spherical of commerce negotiations. Concluded in 1994, the spherical created the World Commerce Group and was signed by 123 nations. The Federal Reserve Financial institution of Boston discovered the next yr that the WTO’s preliminary membership accounted for greater than 90 % of international financial output.

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TRUMP: “We made the deal with Mexico. And I think it’s a very — deal. We’re starting negotiations with Canada, pretty much immediately … It’s going to be a — it’s a smaller segment, as you know. Mexico is a very large trading partner.” — telephone name Monday with Peña Nieto.

THE FACTS: Trump seems to be suggesting that Mexico is a much bigger U.S. buying and selling associate than Canada. That’s not the case. America’s two-way commerce — exports plus imports — got here to $680 billion with Canada final yr. That’s in contrast with $622 billion with Mexico.

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TRUMP: “I smile at Senators and others talking about how good free trade is for the U.S. What they don’t say is that we lose Jobs and over 800 Billion Dollars a year on really dumb Trade Deals….and these same countries Tariff us to death.” — tweet Tuesday.

THE FACTS: The $800 billion is a reference to America’s commerce deficit final yr. However Trump exaggerates the dimensions of the hole between what the U.S. sells and what it buys from the remaining of the world. The commerce deficit in items and providers got here to $552 billion in 2017. The USA ran an $807 billion deficit in items similar to automobiles and equipment. However Trump ignored America’s $255 billion surplus in providers corresponding to schooling and finance.

Mainstream economists additionally take concern with Trump’s assertion that commerce deficits quantity to a loss for america. The cash didn’t simply vanish. In trade for what they spent on imports, People received the profit of proudly owning the whole lot from made-in-China iPhones to French wine.

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BORDER WALL

TRUMP: “The wall will be paid for very easily by Mexico. It will ultimately be paid for by Mexico.” — remarks Tuesday.

THE FACTS: Not in line with Mexico. Instantly after Trump’s remarks, Mexican Overseas Minister Luis Videgaray Caso tweeted to emphasize, as soon as once more, that his nation gained’t foot the invoice for a wall alongside the U.S.-Mexico border.

Caso wrote that his nation has been “absolutely clear” that Mexico “will NEVER pay for a wall.”

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GOOGLE

VIDEO TWEETED BY TRUMP: “For years, Google promoted President Obama’s State of the Union on its homepage. When President Trump took office, Google stopped.” — tweet Wednesday.

THE FACTS: The video is wrong as to Trump.

There’s no dispute that Google promoted Obama’s State of the Union speeches from 2012 to 2016, in line with webpages captured by the Wayback Machine, an web archive website.

In a press release, Google stated it has not traditionally promoted “the first address to Congress by a new president, which is technically not a State of the Union address,” so it didn’t achieve this in both 2009, when Obama first took workplace, or 2017, Trump’s first yr as president.

For 2018, a number of net pages captured by Wayback Machine present the Google homepage promoting a livestream of Trump’s speech with the phrases: “Live! Watch President Trump’s State of the Union address on YouTube.”

The archive website exhibits the webpages in Greenwich Imply Time, which is a number of hours forward of the Japanese time zone within the U.S. Meaning the related pictures of the Google homepage selling Trump’s prime-time Washington speech on Jan. 30 are dated at some point later, on Jan. 31, Mark Graham, director of the Wayback Machine archive website, informed The Related Press.

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RUSSIA INVESTIGATION

TRUMP: “What’s going on at @CNN is happening, to different degrees, at other networks – with @NBCNews being the worst … When Lester Holt got caught fudging my tape on Russia, they were hurt badly!” — tweet Thursday.

THE FACTS: There isn’t a proof of the NBC interview having been “fudged” or doctored in any means, and the White Home didn’t reply to requests relating to what Trump was referring to. NBC declined to remark.

Within the interview, Trump referred partially to “this Russia thing” as a consideration in his choice to fireside Comey. Particular counsel Robert Mueller is investigating potential obstruction of justice within the Russia probe.

It’s attainable Trump is annoyed that different feedback from the identical interview might have acquired much less consideration.

Minutes after he acknowledged that “this Russia thing” was on his thoughts when he fired Comey, Trump additionally acknowledged that he knew the choice to terminate him may truly extend the investigation. In reality it did, with Mueller investigating the firing for potential obstruction of justice.

His legal professionals and different supporters have contended that that sentiment is definitely useful for the president, suggesting he couldn’t have been making an attempt to impede the investigation by doing one thing that he knew would truly draw it out longer.

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CLINTON EMAILS

TRUMP: “Report simply out: ‘China hacked Hillary Clinton’s personal E-mail Server.’ — tweet Tuesday.

TRUMP: “Hillary Clinton’s Emails, many of which are Classified Information, got hacked by China. Next move better be by the FBI & DOJ or, after all of their other missteps (Comey, McCabe, Strzok, Page, Ohr, FISA, Dirty Dossier etc.), their credibility will be forever gone!” — tweet Wednesday.

THE FACTS: Trump’s personal regulation enforcement businesses dispute that.

Trump seems to be citing a narrative by the right-leaning Day by day Caller publication, which reported that a Chinese language-owned firm in Washington, D.C., space hacked Clinton’s e-mail server.

However FBI and Justice Division officers have stated publicly that there was no proof Clinton’s server was hacked by a overseas energy.

A June report from the Justice Division’s inspector common on the FBI’s dealing with of the Clinton investigation stated FBI specialists didn’t discover proof that the server had been hacked, with one forensics agent saying he felt “fairly confident that there wasn’t an intrusion.”

An FBI official stated Wednesday after the Day by day Caller story and Trump tweet that the “FBI has not found any evidence the servers were compromised.”

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POLL RATINGS

TRUMP: “Over 90% approval rating for your all time favorite (I hope) President within the Republican Party and 52% overall. This despite all of the made up stories by the Fake News Media trying endlessly to make me look as bad and evil as possible. Look at the real villains please!” — tweet Sunday.

THE FACTS: He’s flawed in regard to polls citing his general job scores.

The Related Press couldn’t discover any proof of a current ballot that put Trump’s approval at 52 %, and the White Home and his re-election marketing campaign didn’t reply to requests for specifics.

Polls are a snapshot of public opinion in the mean time they’re taken. Job approval can — and has in current historical past — differ throughout a president’s time period.

Since his inauguration, nevertheless, Trump’s job approval has been remarkably constant, within the excessive 30s and low 40s, in polls from numerous media organizations and different pollsters.

The newest AP-NORC ballot, taken this month, finds Trump’s approval amongst American adults at 38 %. Another current polls measure his approval within the low to mid-40s.

On his degree of help amongst Republicans, Trump is right that they broadly approve of his work as president. In the identical AP-NORC ballot that discovered 38 % of adults approving of the president, 76 % of Republicans and people who lean towards the GOP stated they authorised of Trump. Some polls have put that degree of help as excessive as 90 %.

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Related Press writers Eric Tucker, Jill Colvin and Hannah Fingerhut contributed to this report.

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EDITOR’S NOTE _ A take a look at the veracity of claims by political figures